Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-18-24 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Game six of this NBA Western Conference 2nd Round series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. The Thunder are down 2-3 and in a must win spot here on Saturday. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City in game five, 92-104, as a 4.5 point favorite. Four of the five games in this series have gone UNDER as we've seen the total start at 218.5 and slowly drop to today's lowest total of 209.5. The Thunder averaged 118.5 ppg during the regular season and have dropped to 104.6 ppg in the playoffs. They have also seen their defense go from allowing 111.2 ppg to just 97.4 ppg. Dallas averaged 116.4 ppg during the regular season and 105.5 ppg in the playoffs. They have allowed 114 ppg in the regular season to 102 ppg in the playoffs. This has been a low scoring series and I don't see much to change that outcome here on Saturday. Expect to see defense continue to shine here in game six on Saturday. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-01-24 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 209.5 | 123-93 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
A pivotal game five of this best of seven Western Conference clash has the teams tied at 2-2 as the Clippers host the Mavericks here on Wednesday. The Mavericks took game one, then lost games two and three before winning game four. The team that wins tonight basically has to win just one of the final two games. The Clippers won game four at Dallas, 116-111. Kawhi Leonard missed the game again for the Clips but Paul George and James Harden stepped up with 33 points each in game four. The Clippers almost blew a 31-point lead in that game but held off a big Dallas comeback for the win. That game four was also the first game in the series that went over. In fact, Dallas has gone under in six of their last seven games. Dallas is well below their regular season average of 117.1 ppg as they are scoring just 101.3 ppg. They are also allowing 102 ppg compared to their 115 allowed in the regular season. The Clippers have averaged 102 ppg in the postseason compared to their 115 ppg in the regular season. They are allowing 101.3 ppg in the playoffs compared to their 111.8 ppg in the regular season. I'm sticking with the UNDER tonight, especially if Leonard can't go again for the Clippers. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-30-24 | Magic v. Cavs UNDER 201.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Probably the best series of these first round is this one between the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers. Cavaliers opened the series with a pair of wins at home. The Magic answered with two straight at home including last game 112-89. They have seen three of the four in the series go UNDER the total. Now the venue reverts back to Cleveland for game five. Franz Wagner finished with 34 points for the Magic and outscored the Cavaliers all by himself in the third quarter. The Cavs scored 60 points in the first half but could manage just 10 points in the third quarter as the Magic outscored them by 27-points. The Magic have been great at home, winning six straight, but horrible on the road by losing six straight. Orlando has averaged just 100 points in the playoffs compared to its 110 ppg in the regular season. Their defense has been excellent, allowing just 91.3 ppg in the playoffs. The Cavs 91.3 ppg in the postseason is well below their 111.6 ppg in the regular season. The Magic defense has done a great job but still faces going down 2-3 in this series unless they can change their road woes. For me, I'm taking this game under as both teams playing much better defense then offense. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-30-24 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 204 | 112-106 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers face elimination in their best of seven series with the NY Knicks. The Sixers are down 1-3 as they return to New York here on Tuesday. The Knicks took game four in Philly, 97-92. They held the Sixers to just 35.4% from the field and 27.3% from the 3-point arc. The Knicks Jalen Brunson had a playoff career high 47 points. As for the Sixers, when Joel Embiid is out of the line they falter badly. That caused him to have to play the entire second half of that game four loss. I'll be looking at the under in tonight's contest. The Sixers have seen their scoring drop dramatically in the playoffs to just 105.4 ppg from a regular season of 114.1 ppg. However, the defense has been much better also, going from 111.2 ppg in the regular season to 106 ppg in the playoffs. The Knicks have also seen the scoring go way down from 112.5 ppg in the regular season to just 106.5 ppg in the playoffs. But like Philly, the defense is better going from 108.1 ppg to 105.5 ppg. Embiid is hurting and he's playing. Good news for the Knicks is that center Robinson should be back tonight and he will give Embiid even more problems. I'll take this game UNDER. |
|||||||
04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 216.5 | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers staved off elimination in game four of their series with the Denver Nuggets back in LA. After losing the first three games the Lakers won game four, 119-108 covering the +3.5 point spread and going over. The Lakers have been a good over play all season, especially on the road where they are 27-16 O/U. They average 116.1 ppg and allow 119.5 ppg on the road this year. Denver is 4-2-1 O/U in their last six games. They average 118 ppg at home this year while allowing 108.4 ppg. Considering what the Lakers allow on the road, I won't be surprised to see the Nuggets get past the 120 mark. The Lakers are shooting 49.9% from the field against a good defense. Plus the Nuggets attempt way more three-point shots at home then they do on the road. I expect a lot of points in this one as the Lakers go all out to stay alive for one more game. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
04-28-24 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 211 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
The Knicks and Sixers continue their best of seven game series here today from Philadelphia. The Sixers finally got a win in game three, 125-114. The Knicks led at half but a big second half by Sixers star Joel Embiid led to the come from behind and much needed win by Philly. They shot a blistering 54.7% from the field and 48.4% from the 3-point arc. The Knicks could also be without their center Mitchell Robinson who hurt his knee and is listed as questionable for today's contest. Embiid may do even better today if Robinson can't go. He scored 50 points in the Sixers game three win. The loss of Robinson could be huge here today for the Knicks as he's been dominant on the boards. Without him in game three's second half, the Sixers took over on the boards. This looks to be a close game here on Sunday and as such I'm taking the UNDER as both teams will likely slow the pace. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut OVER 160.5 | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Game two of the NCAA Final Four has Alabama taking on powerhouse Connecticut. The Alabama Crimson Tide lost in their conference tourney to Florida, 88-102, but have gained momentum in the NCAA tourney with wins over Charleston (109-96), Grand Canyon (72-61), North Carolina (89-87) and last game over Clemson, 89-82. They have gone over in three of their four NCAA tourney games. In addition they have gone over in six of their last seven games and 13 of their last 15 overall games. This team can score in bunches, evidenced by their 90.6 ppg average this year. They are also 7-1 O/U in their eight tourney games this year. The U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite to win it all and their play has proved they deserve their title. They have run rough shot over the competition. They not only won their conference tourney over Marquette, 73-57, but have won all four tourney games over Stetson (91-52), Northwestern (75-58), San Diego State (82-52) and last game over Illinois, 77-52. In their game vs Illinois they opened the game up in the first half with a 30-0 run! Now they face the best offensive team they have faced in this tourney. No doubt the Huskies will score and score a lot vs a porous Alabama defense. The question is can they keep the Crimson Tide from scoring like they have. I look for this to be an offensive explosion here tonight. I'm taking the OVER. |
|||||||
04-03-24 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 230.5 | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers look to hold onto their slim lead in the East race as they sit 6th right now with a half game lead over Miami and two game lead over Philly. That 6th spot is important since it's the final guaranteed playoff spot without having to go to the play-in round. The Pacers still lead the NBA in scoring with a 122.9 ppg average. They also are one of the worse defense teams, allowing 120.4 ppg. The Pacers have won two straight games after beating Brooklyn in their last game, 133-111, as a 12.5-point favorite. They went over their last game and are 3-2 O/U in their last five games. The Pacers away games have averaged 242.5 points per game. They are also 18-19 O/U on the road this year. The Nets are falling further and further out of the postseason picture. They now trail 10th place Atlanta by 6.5-games after going 3-7 the last 10 games. The Nets have gone over in three of their last four games. They average 113 points at home this year with a 19-18 O/U mark. These teams just met and that game went over. I expect the same here tonight with another over game. |
|||||||
04-01-24 | Hawks v. Bulls OVER 222 | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Big game here tonight in the NBA Eastern Conference as the Chicago Bulls host the Atlanta Hawks. These two teams are separated by just 1.5-games in the standings. The Bulls hold the 9th postseason spot while the Hawks have the 10th and final spot. Good news is that the 11 place Nets are a good 5.5-games back. The Hawks had their four game win streak snapped last game at home to the Bucks, 113-122. That concluded a 5-game home stand in which they went 4-1 S/U and ATS. Now they hit the road where they were 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last road swing. In fact, the Hawks are just 12-23 ATS on the road this season. The Chicago Bulls look to turnaround a recent slum that has seen the team go 2-4 S/U and ATS their last six games. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota, 109-101 as a 8.5-point dog. The Bulls are 17-20-1 ATS at home this season. The Hawks have been playing well of late, including a pair of wins over the best team in the NBA the Boston Celtics. Plus the Bulls have a pair of starters who will miss this game in Caruso and Dosunmu both have injuries. Add to that fact that the Bulls are not a deep team. They also are playing the 2nd of a back to back spot here tonight after beating Minnesota last night. That's difficult enough to do let alone missing key elements. Atlanta has a very good offense, ranked 8th in the NBA. That has turned into seven straight over plays for the Hawks. They are 39-33-1 O/U on the season with their games averaging 239.7 ppg. The Bulls have been a good over team of late, going 7 -3 O/U in their last 10 games. They are also 20-18 O/U at home this year. Tough spot to pick a side here, but I do like this game to go over the total with the Hawks setting the pack. Play OVER. |
|||||||
03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State UNDER 151 | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals action here tonight has Georgia travelling to Columbus to face Ohio State. The Georgia Bulldogs improved to 19-16 on the season with a pair of wins in the NIT over Xavier, 78-76, and then their last game over Wake Forest, 72-66, as a 7-point dog. They have gone under in both their NIT games thus far. In fact, the dogs are 2-6 O/U in their last eight games and 1-5 O/U in their six tourney games this year. Ohio State is 22-13 after winning a pair of NIT games. They beat Cornell in their opening game, 88-83, and then Virginia Tech in their last game, 81-73, as a 6-point favorite. Both those games going over their posted total. This is a contrast of styles with the slower Georgia team taking on the faster Ohio State club. This total is pretty high tonight in the 150's and I like Georgia to control the pace. That means the UNDER with this matchup. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 234 | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks making a push for that final guaranteed playoff spot as they trail Sacramento for 6th place by just a half game. The Suns are tied with the Mavs for that final spot too. If they fall below 6th then it's the play-in round for the Mavs. The San Antonio Spurs have the worst record in the West at 15-53 and are eliminated from postseason play. The Spurs are coming off a win at home over Brooklyn, 122-115, as a 2.5-point dog. The game also went over the 218 total line. The Spurs are 16-14 O/U at home this year as they average 114.3 ppg and allow 119.5 ppg at home. Dallas is coming off a win at home over Denver, 107-105, as a 1-point dog. The Mavs winning that game on a last second shot by Kyrie Irving. They have won five of their last six games and covered all six. The Mavs have been a good over team on the road with a 19-12-1 O/U record. They average 118.1 ppg and allow 119.2 ppg on the road this season. Should be plenty of points scored in this one tonight. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Blazers v. Bulls OVER 213.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
East vs West here on Monday in the NBA as the Portland Trailblazers travel to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 9th in the East, 2.5-games ahead of 10th place Atlanta and 7-games ahead of 11th place Brooklyn. They are also five games back of the last guaranteed playoff spot held by Indiana. The Portland Trailblazers are officially eliminated from the playoffs. They are 19-48. The Blazers have lost two straight games and six of their last eight. They went over in their last game at New Orleans with a 107-126 final. They have gone over in five of their last seven games. They average 107.7 ppg while allowing 115.9 ppg on the season. Chicago is coming off a win at home vs Washington, 127-98. They went over in that game and are 3-0 o/u their last three games. The Bulls average 112.1 ppg while allowing 113.6 ppg. They are 18-16 o/u at home this season. The Bulls will determine the total results here today. If they score a lot, like I expect, then this game will go over. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 229.5 | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics continue their West coast swing here tonight at Utah. The Celtics are cruising in the East conference with a 8.5 game lead over 2nd place Milwaukee. The Celtics had little difficulty last night in Portland, as they cruised to a 121-99 win over the Blazers as a 12-point favorite. That makes them 2-1 on this West Coast trip as they lost their opener at Denver, 109-115 then beat Phoenix, 117-107 and then their win last night. The Celtics are averaging 120.8 ppg and allowing 109.7 ppg. The Utah Jazz are 12th in the West, two spots out of the final postseason play-in spot. They are now 6-games back of the postseason and dropping fast as they are just 2-8 their last 10 games. They are coming off a loss at Denver, 121-142, as a 12.5-point dog. They have gone over in four straight games as they allow over 120 ppg on the season. The Jazz are also 17-13-1 O/U at home, mainly because they are scoring 123.2 ppg on their home court. I like this one to go over tonight as both teams should get plenty of points. Play OVER. |
|||||||
03-09-24 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 234 | 142-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
West vs East clash here today has the Dallas Mavericks heading to MoTown to take on the Detroit Pistons. Dallas is 8th right now in the West standings, meaning they have a postseason play-in spot right now. However, they are just two games back of 6th place Phoenix and that guaranteed playoff spot. With the Rockets now seven games back of the Mavs they only need to look forward at this point. Detroit hasn't been eliminated from the playoffs, but trailing 10th place Atlanta by 18.5-games means that today could be the day for that to happen. The Pistons are just 10-52 on the season and only Washington is worse with a 10-53 record. I'm looking at the OVER here today. The Mavs are 4-2 O/U their last six games. They average 118.7 ppg on the season and 116.9 ppg on the road. They are also a better over team on the road with a 17-11-1 O/U mark. Detroit has gone over in two straight games vs Miami and last game vs Brooklyn, 118-112. The Pistons give up a lot of points, 120.8 ppg overall and 119.2 ppg at home. I look for plenty of points out of both teams here tonight. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Grizzlies v. Nets UNDER 206.5 | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets are fighting for a postseason spot and right now they are out of the picture. They are 11th in the East, two games back of Atlanta for that final spot. The Nets have won three of their last four games. But tonight I'm looking at their totals. The Nets have gone under in six of their last seven games. They are also 26-34 O/U overall on the season and 10-17 O/U onthe road. The Memphis Grizzlies won't make the playoffs this year. They are 13th in the West, 10.5-games back of the final spot. They have also lost five straight games after dropping two in a row to Portland. They have gone under in four of their last six games. The Grizzlies are also 26-35 O/U on the season. The Grizzlies have scored 100 points or fewer in four of their last five games. With Ja Morant out for the season, this team struggles to find points. I don't play many games under the total, but I will here tonight with these two teams. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Pacers v. Knicks OVER 236 | 105-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
After dropping out of the top scoring spot in the NBA, the Indiana Pacers are back on top with their 125.8 ppg average. They also have the 2nd best average pace at 102.8 and the 2nd best average speed. The problem is defense, the Pacers are the 3rd worst defensive team in the league at 124 ppg average. The Knicks are the third best rebounding team in the NBA at 46.1 rpg. The Knicks are a very good defensive team, ranked 2nd overall at 109.3 ppg allowed. The Pacers had their three game win streak snapped last game by Boston, but did cover the spread. The Pacers currently sit 6th in the East and that's important. If you finish at least sixth, you don't have to play in the NBA play-in tournament at the end of the season. The Knicks are arguably the hottest team in the NBA, having won eight straight games. They made a big trade for forward Anunoby by releasing both Barrett and Quickly. Many did not think this was a good trade, but it has worked out well for the Knicks. The Knicks have been battling injuries as Julius Randle is expected out for a while and Anunoby had to sit out last game vs Utah with an elbow injury but should play tonight. The Pacers won the first matchup between these teams at home by 14-points. This will be a contrast of styles as the fast paced Indiana team will take on the defensive oriented and slow paced Knicks. I've been high on the Knicks of late, but the injuries will be hard to overcome tonight against this high scoring Pacers team. Take the points with Indiana. As for the Total, since I like the Pacers I have to believe they will run and run in this game and being the highest scoring team pull the Knicks into their style. Take the OVER also here on Monday. |
|||||||
01-18-24 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 224 | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They jumped out to a big lead early on Wednesday vs the Miami Heat and never looked back in their win, 121-97, as a 3-point dog. Toronto is now 16-25 S/U and 20-21 ATS on the season. Prior to last night's game, the Raptors have gone over in five of their last six and nine of their last 12 games. The Raptor average just over 112 ppg at home and just over 115 points overall. The Bulls had last night off after their loss at Cleveland on Tuesday, 91-109, as a 4.5-point dog. That was their first under in their last five games. The Bulls average 110 ppg and allow 112.4 ppg on the season. They are 6-13 S/u and 7-11-1 ATS on the road and have gone over in 11 of their 19 away games. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest on Thursday. I'll be on the OVER. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Washington v. Utah UNDER 154 | 90-95 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
PAC 12 Matchup here on Sunday has Washington taking on Utah. The Washington Huskies are 8-4 S/U 7-5 ATS and 6-6 Over/Under. They have averaged 81.8 ppg while allowing 74.3 ppg. On the road the Huskies are 1-1 both S/U and ATS and O/U. They are coming off a loss at Colorado, 69-73, as a 8.5-point dog and the game went under the 156.5 total. That is their second straight under and fourth in the last five games. Utah is 10-2 S/U and 8-4 ATS and averages 80.6 ppg while allowing just 67.6 ppg. At home those number are even better with a 83.6 ppg average and 62.4 ppg against for a +21.1 scoring margin. The Utes are just 2-5 O/U at home this year. The Utes are coming off a home win over Washington State, 80-58, as a 8-point favorite with the game going under. In fact, they have gone under in four straight games. I like the under today. Utah plays very good defense, better at home and this is a big total to get over. Take UNDER. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans OVER 229.5 | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
New life has been breathed back into the Memphis Grizzlies since the return of their star guard Ja Morant. Morant miss all of the season until Dec 19 when he returned from his suspension to score 34 points and the game winning buzzer beater to beat New Orleans, 115-113. The Grizzlies are 3-0 both S/U and ATS since his return and have scored 115, 116 and last game 125 in their win over Atlanta. They play the Pelicans for the 2nd time in the last four games. The Pelicans are 17-13 S/U and ATS. New Orleans averages 115.7 ppg while allowing 113.3 ppg. I look for this game to go over here on Tuesday. The Grizzlies have been much higher scoring team with the return of Morant. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks OVER 241 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
The early game of our two game package here on Monday has the Milwaukee Bucks travelling to New York to take on the Knicks. The Bucks are the 2nd highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging 124.6 ppg. They are 22-7 S/U and 13-16 ATS on the season. They are also 19-10 over/under overall. The Bucks are just as prolific on the road as they average 122.8 ppg and have a 7-4 o/u record. The Bucks have won seven straight games and have gone over in five of those. They are coming off a win at the Knicks on Saturday, 130-111, but going under the 244.5 total. The Knicks are 16-12 S/U and 15-12-1 ATS on the season. They average 114.6 ppg and allow 112 ppg. While these teams met a few days ago, I'll take them over in this rematch. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Butler v. Providence UNDER 142.5 | 75-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Early action on the college hardcourt here on Saturday has Butler taking on Providence. The Butler Bulldogs are 10-2 S/U and 7-4 ATS with a 5-5-1 O/U record. The dogs have won seven straight games since their loss to Florida Atlantic, 86-91. They are coming off a win over Georgetown, 74-64, as a 10.5-point favorite. The game also went under the 148.5 total. The Bulldogs score a lot, averaging 83.8 ppg, but they also play good defense as they allow just 69.6 ppg. The Providence Friars are also 10-2 S/U and 6-5-1 ATS. However, they are just 2-10 over/under as they allow just 63 ppg. That ties them for 21st in the nation in best defense. The Friars have won three straight and seven of their last eight. They are coming off a win over Marquette, 72-57, as a 4-point dog with the game going under. In fact, their last four games have gone under. This game being in Providence makes a big difference as the Friars allow just 60.8 ppg. They should control the tempo and keep this game low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-21-23 | Jacksonville v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 57-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Dolphins travel to Purdue in this extra board game for Thursday The Dolphins are 8-4 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They are also 8-2 O/U and average 76.8 ppg while giving up 73.4 ppg. The team is 2-4 S/U and ATS on the road with a 5-1 O/U mark. They average 67.3 ppg but give up 85 ppg away from home. The Dolphins coming off a home win over LA-Monroe, 75-65, covering the 6-point line and going over the 137.5 total. The Purdue Boilermakers off to a great start at 10-1 S/U and 8-2-1 ATS. They are also a very good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark. They average 86.2 ppg and allow 70.5 ppg. They do better at home, averaging 90.8 ppg while allowing 61.6 ppg. Both teams have been great over plays all season. I don't see that changing tonight as Purdue piles up the points at home. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA UNDER 138.5 | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
A pair of LA county teams matchup here tonight as UCLA welcomes cross town school Cal State Northridge tonight. Northridge Matadors have had some rough seasons heading into this year. However, they are off to a much better start at 7-3 S/U and 7-1 ATS. They are also 2-6 O/U on the season and allow just 69.3 ppg. They haven't played in over a week and that was a win over Utah Tech, 80-75, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a string of six straight unders for the Matadors. The defense has been good, holding five of the last six opponents to under 40% shooting. UCLA off to a slow start this season at just 5-4 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. They are also 1-8 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, holding opponents to just 59.7 ppg overall and 54.3 ppg at home. The Bruins have lost two straight games to Villanova 56-65 and then last time out to Ohio State, 60-67, as a 2-point home dog. Both games going under. Tonight, I expect both teams to slow the tempo and as such I'm looking for this game to go under. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans OVER 229.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies playing their second of a back-to-back spot here tonight. Last night they went to Oklahoma City and lost their fifth straight game, 97-116, failing to cover the 10.5-point dog line. The Grizzlies were down by nearly 30 points at hone time. The Grizzlies have also failed to cover all five of their last five games. They average 105.6 ppg and allow 112.4 ppg on the season. The New Orleans Pelicans are 16-11 S/U and 16/11 ATS on the season. They average 116. ppg while allowing 113.8 ppg. The Pelicans have won four straight games and 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at San Antonio on Sunday, 146-110, as a 8-point favorite. They have scored over 140 points in two of their last three games, both of those on the road. The good news for the Grizzlies tonight is the return of guard Ja Morant. He's is by far their best player and has missed the season thus far due to a suspension. Morant will make his season debut tonight and give the offense a shot in the arm. That combined with the high scoring ways of the Pelicans of late will have me on the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings OVER 244.5 | Top | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder having a good season thus far at 15-7 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS on the season. They are also 12-9-1 Over/Under. The Thunder have won two straight games, scoring 138 and 134 points in those games. They have gone over in four of their last five games. The Thunder average 120.4 ppg and allow 112.8 ppg on the season. Sacramento is 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. The Kings are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 99-119, as 3.5-point dogs. They have gone over in six of their last eight games. The Kings average 116.3 ppg and allow 116.9 ppg. That goes up at home to 121.6 ppg and allow 120.1 ppg. I like the over here tonight. |
|||||||
12-13-23 | Murray State v. Mississippi State OVER 136.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Murray State Racers are off to a slow start at just 3-5 S/U and 2-5 ATS. They are also 5-2 Over/under on the season. The Racers have lost two straight both S/U and ATS including last game at Austin Peay, 49-53, as a 2.5-point favorite. They had their worst shooting game of the season with just 37.3% from the field and 2nd worst from the 3-point arc with 28%. Theis team averages 73.5 ppg while allowing 70.9 ppg. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS with a 3-6 O/U mark. They average 75.4 ppg while allowing 62 ppg. They are coming off a win at home over Tulane, 106-76, as a 6.5-point favorite. They had their best offensive output of the season by hitting 58.6% from the field and a blistering 46.4% from the 3-point arc, both season highs. I expect the Dogs to have equal success here tonight against the Racers that allow quite a few points Take the OVER tonight. |
|||||||
12-06-23 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 224 | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are 14-6 S/U and 13-5-2 ATS on the season as they travel to Cleveland to take on the 11-9 S/U and 8-11-1 Cavaliers. Both teams have been right about 50/50 on their over/under games. The Magic look to rebound from their loss on Saturday to Brooklyn, 101-129. They have had three days off and should be well rested. They have also gone over in four straight and seven of their last eight games. They average 114.3 ppg and allow 110 ppg on the season. The Cavaliers are coming off a win on Saturday at Detroit, 110-101, pushing the spread and going UNDER. They average 110.8 ppg on the season and allow 111.2 ppg. Both teams well rested for tonight's game. I expect back and forth action in this one and lots of points. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-20-23 | West Virginia v. SMU UNDER 143.5 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Tourney action here on Monday has West Virginia taking on SMU. The West Virginia Mountaineers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS this season. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 70-57, covering the 7.5-point line. They went under the total in that game. In fact, they are 0-2-1 O/U in their three games. While WV shot 51.1% from the field in their win over Jax State, that was by far their best shooting performance after a 31.3% and 34.9% in their previous two games. SMU is 3-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in their four games. They had their 3-0 record broken last game out in a loss to Texas A&M, 66-79, as a 5.5-point dog. That game went over, but the previous two games went UNDER. The Mustangs shot only 35.4% vs A&M and 37.3% in their win over Lamar. They have also struggled from three-point, shooting 26.1% and 11.1% in two of their four games. I'm going to take this game under here this evening. |
|||||||
06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5. |
|||||||
06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight. |
|||||||
06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. With a better Miami game and the Denver's top offensive unit, I look for this game to go OVER the total here in game two. |
|||||||
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers escaped from Golden State with a split in the first two games and now have home court on their side. The Lakers took game one of this best of seven series, 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog. The Warriors came roaring back in game two with a blowout win, 127-100 as a 7-point favorite. Now the venue moves back to LA for game three. So far both games have gone over, but that wasn't the case for the Lakers in their first round games. They were 2-4 O/Un in their six games with the Grizzlies. The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their first series with the Kings. Today's total is right at 228. While this season both teams look to be over plays, they haven't looked like that so far in the playoffs. I'm taking tonight's game UNDER the total. |
|||||||
04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 230.5 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Game six of this best of seven series sees the Boston Celtics looking to close out and move on to the Conference Semi-finals. The Celtics lost their last game, that being played at Boston, 117-119, as a 13-point favorite. Now they return to Atlanta where they split the prior two games. The last three games of the series have gone OVER with 236, 250 and 252 being scored respectfully. That's what I'm looking at again here tonight, the over. Atlanta games at home this season have averaged 237.7 ppg. Meanwhile, the Celtics road games have averaged 233.8 per game. The Celtics have also gone over in seven of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 games and 5-0 O/U in their last five home games. Both teams look like they want to take this one over tonight and that's what I will go with. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
|||||||
04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 215 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to take a commanding lead in this best of seven series after taking game one at Cleveland, 101-97. The Knicks were a 5-point dog and won straight-up. The difference was on the boards where the Knicks grabbed 51 rebounds to the Cavs 38. The game easily went under the 216 total. The Knicks have now gone under 16 of 21 times in the conference quarterfinals. This really a must win game for the Cavs who have already lost home court and can ill afford to go back to NY down 0-2. The Cavs have gone under in three straight and six of their last eight games. I look for this pace to be slow like the last game. I'm on the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Great game one between these teams with the Sacramento Kings coming out on top, 126-123. as a 1-point dog. That win snapped a Kings three game losing streak. The Kings are also 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven games playing on one day rest. The loss for the Warriors snapped a three game winning streak. Golden State is now 4-5 O/U in their last nine games. They are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. These teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five meetings in Sacramento. Very high total here tonight, and with the teams going over in game one I'll take UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 231 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks had to win their play-In game on Tuesday vs the Heat to advance here today. They won 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog. That broke a two-game losing streak, including a loss at Boston last Sunday on closing day, 114-120 with the game going over. They are 4-0-1 O/U their last five games. They are also 20-6 O/U in their last 26 games following a ATS win. The Celtics haven't played since last Sunday when they beat the Hawks. They finished the season winning three straight and eight of their last 10. The Celtics have also gone over in five of their last seven games. With all the rest these teams have had recently they should be ready to push the pace here today. I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
|||||||
03-29-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 235 | 120-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have a solid hold on the third spot in the West with their 45-30 record. They are three games back of 2nd place Memphis and three games ahead of fourth place Phoenix. The Kings are the highest scoring team in the NBA with a 121.0 ppg average. In fact, no other team in the NBA averages over the 120 mark. The Kings are coming off a loss at home to Minnesota, 115-119, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have gone under two straight games after a four game OVER run. The Kings are 8-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 with one day rest. They are also 16-7 Ov/Un in their last 24 overall. The Portland Trailblazers are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs as they sit in 13th place in the West and 4.5 games back of the Thunder. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 O/U during that span. They are 12-5 O/U their last 17 vs a team with a winning road record. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings and six of the last seven in Portland. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 232.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Thunder play the second of a back-to-back set here tonight and will remain at the Staple's Center as they faced the Clippers last night and the Lakers tonight. The Thunder are tied with the Mavericks, Lakers and Pelicans all holding onto three of the final playoff spots. The Jazz are just a half game back. The West is all bunched at for those final spots with just two-games separating seven teams. The Thunder lost last night to the Clippers, 105-127, as a 4-point dog. They allowed 56% from the field and 48.6% from 3-point arc to the Clippers. That makes them 5-2 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Thunder have now gone 10-4-1 Ov/Un in their last 15 games. The Lakers have won two straight games and Six of their last nine. They are coming off a Wednesday win over the Suns, 122-111, as a 1-point favorite. The teams have gone over in nine of their last 13 meetings. I look for another over here tonight. |
|||||||
03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut UNDER 126.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
2nd Round NCAA Tournament action has Saint Mary's taking on U Conn. St Mary's lost in their West Coast tournament to rivals Gonzaga, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA play with a 1st round win over VCU, 63-51, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Gaels are usually known for their defense. They have allowed just 59.7 ppg on the season and 62.3 on neutral sites. After losing their conference tourney matchup to Marquette, Cincinnati opened NCAA play with a win over Iona, 87-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With St Mary's going under in eight of their last 11 NCAA games and the Huskies playing mostly unders in the postseason, I'll take under here on Sunday. |
|||||||
03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston is in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference, 1.5-games back of first place Milwaukee. The Celtics are the highest scoring team in the East with a 117.6 ppg average. The Celtics have won two straight games and three of four on this four game road stint. They have also gone over in four of their last seven games. The Celtics had to play last night at Portland and won that game 126-112, covering and going over. Now they play back-to-back in which they are 18-7-1 O/U their last 26 games with no rest. The Celtics are also 20-9-1 O/U their last 30 road games. Utah is tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the LA Lakers at 33-36. The Jazz have lost four of their last 10 games. They also allow 117.2 ppg this season (Only two teams allow more). The Jazz have ton over in three straight games and five of their last six. They are also 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games. These teams have also gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State OVER 155.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament begins here on Tuesday with a pair of play-in games. Texas A&M Corpus Christi takes on Se Missouri State in the early game. A&M Islanders finished the season strong, winning four straight games and 12 of their last 13 games. They also went over in four of the last five games. This team averaged over 80 ppg on the season too. The Islanders are 12-4 O/U in their last 16 games following an ATS win. SE Missout State Redhawks finished on a four game win and cover streak. They went over in three of those four games and six of their last seven games. The Redhawks are 13-3 O/U their last 16 games following an ATS win. They are also 21-7 O/U in their last 28 overall games. Both these teams can score and have done well for over bettors. I'll take the over here on Tuesday. |
|||||||
03-12-23 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 227 | 93-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Sunday has Philadelphia hosting Washington. Washington is tied for 10th and the last playoff spot with Chicago as both are 31-36 on the season. The Wizards are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 107-114, as a 2-point dog with the game going UNDER. That broke a string where the Wizards have gone 5-0-1 O/U in their last six games. They are also 47-20-1 ATS in their last 68 games vs a team with a 60% or better win percentage. Philly is in third place in the East, 3.5-games back of first place Milwaukee and 2-games back of 2nd place Boston. Philly has won four straight games and gone over in four of their last five games. The Sixers are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 home games and 17-7-1 O/U in their last 25 games on one day rest. These teams have gone over in seven of their last nine meetings and 10 of the last 14 in Philly. I'm on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 110-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference action here tonight has the 5th place Golden State Warriors taking on the 3rd place Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors look to snap a two game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City, 128-137, as a 3.5-point favorite. While that game went over, that snapped a seven game UNDER streak by the Warriors. In fact, they have gone under in their last eight of 10 road games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Grizzlies look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. They are also on a decent under streak with a 1-6-1 O/U their last eight games. They are also 2-9 O/U in their last 11 games playing on one day rest. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings and 15 of the last 22 meetings in Memphis. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |
|||||||
03-08-23 | Thunder v. Suns OVER 233 | 101-132 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Western Conference clash here on Wednesday has the 4th place Phoenix Suns taking on the 11th place Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are 31-34 overall and have won three straight games both S/U and ATS. The Thunder have also gone over in five straight and 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five road games. The Phoenix Suns are 36-29 overall on the season. They have won and covered three straight games. They are also 4-2 O/U in their last six games. They are also 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games vs a team with a losing record. Plus the Suns have gone over in four of their last five home games. I look for a lot of points in this one tonight. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 216.5 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Monday has 3rd place Philadelphia hosting 7th place Miami. Philadelphia is 39-20 and four games back of 1st place Boston. They have won seven of their last 10 games. Miami has won just four of their last 10 games and lost four straight. Miami does lead the SouthEast division, but that isn't saying much since no other team in the division has a record above the .500 mark. Miami doesn't score a lot, with just 108 their top mark over their last six outings and two games under 100 points. They are 13-18 O/U in their 31 road games this year, averaging 107.5 ppg. Philly had their five game win and spread streak snapped last game with a loss to the top team in the East, Boston, 107-110. Philly led a lot of that game to lose in a wild finish that saw Philly hit a 3/4 court length shot but time has just expired. These teams have gone under in eight of their last 11 meetings. Philly has gone under in their last two games. Your free play for Monday is on the UNDER. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Lakers v. Mavs OVER 235.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Lakers still sitting on the outside of the Western conference playoff picture as they sit 13th right now with a 28-32 record. However, they are just 1.5-games back of 10th place New Orleans. The Mavericks are in 6th place with their 32-29 record, with just 3.5 games separating 6th from 13th place in the West. The Lakers have won and covered two straight games after beating New Orleans and then last time over Golden State, 124-111, as a 6-point favorite. The Lakers have been a decent over team on the road, going 18-13 Ov/Un with an average score of 236.8 ppg. Dallas is coming off a win over their instate rivals, San Antonio, 142-116, as a 14-point favorite. The Mavs have now gone over in four of their last five games and scored at least 121 points in five of the last seven games. These teams have gone over in five of the las seven meeting in Dallas. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 227.5 | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Clash here today has Atlanta Hawks hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland is 4th in the East with a 38-24 overall record. Atlanta is 8th in the East with a 29-30 overall record. The Cavs have lost two straight. They started the second half of the season with a loss yesterday to Denver, 1-9-115, as a 3-point dog. Now they play tonight at Atlanta. They have seen their last two games go over and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five. The Hawks have lost two straight games as they play their first game of the 2nd half of the season tonight. These teams have a 31-15 O/U mark the last 46 times they have met. I will be on the over here tonight. |
|||||||
02-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 239 | 116-142 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Texas rivalry here tonight has Dallas hosting San Antonio. Dallas is 6th in the West as we start the second half of the season. San Antonio is next to last in the West with a 14-45 record. They also have the worst point differential in the West with a -10.2 mark. The Spurs have been really bad, losing 14 straight games as we play tonight. They have only covered two of those games, going 2-12 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Charlotte, 110-120, as a 5-point dog. They also allow a whopping 124.1 ppg on the road this year. They have also gone OVER in their last six road games vs a team with a home win percentage of 60% or better. The Mavs look to snap a three-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Denver, 109-118, as a 5-point dog. They have gone over in three of their last four games and five of their last seven games. I'm going to pass on a side tonight and look at taking the OVER. |
|||||||
02-16-23 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 234.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards are 27-30 overall on the season and 28-28-1 ATS. They are 3rd in the SouthEast division. The Wizards are coming off a win at Portland, 126-101 at Portland. They have gone over in two of their last three games. The Wizards have scored at least 126 points in each of their last three games. The Wizards are 5-0 O/U in their last five games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 31-29 overall and 28-302 vs the spread. They have gone over in four straight and five of their last six games. They average 115.9 ppg but also allow 115.8 ppg on the season. These teams have gone over in their last four games at Minnesota. They are also 16-5 O/U in the last 21 meetings. I'm taking OVER today. |
|||||||
02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets OVER 220 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers have been playing very well, winning seven of their last nine games. They have been on the road for five games, going 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over the Knicks, 134-128, as a 2.5-point favorite. They play the final game of their road sweep here tonight before returning to the Staples Center. The Clippers have been a very good over team, with a 17-6 Ov/Un record their last 23 road games. They are also 5-2 O/U in their last seven overall games and 15-7-1 O/U their last 23 vs a team with a winning home record. The Nets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Wednesday with a win over the Wizards, 125-123, as a 1.5-point dog. It was their second straight over game and fifth in their last six games. They are also 5-3 S/U in their last eight games. The Nets have gone over in five of their last six games and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five playing on one day rest. Both teams are playing well, but I'll just stick with the OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-23 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 129.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
ACC action early on Saturday has a pair of rivals facing off as Virginia Tech host Virginia. Virginia looks headed to another NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-3 overall record. The Cavs are also 9-2 in conference play and a half game behind ACC leading Clemson. Tech is going to need a big last push if they hope to make the Big Dance as they sit 13-9 overall and just 3-8 in conference play. Virginia has won seven straight games and is 4-3 Over/UNDER in that span. One of those is also against Tech back on Jan 18th in which they won at VT 76-68, as a 5-point favorite. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss at Miami, 83-92, as a 3.5-point dog. The Hokies are just 2-8 S/U and ATS in their last 10 games. The Hokies have gone under in five of their last six games when playing a team with a winning record. Same for the Cavs, they have also gone under in five of their last six vs a winning team. While these teams went over last time at Virginia, I'm taking them under here today. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 236 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight over the Wizards. The 25-26 Blazers are coming off a win at Memphis, 122-112, as a 5.5-point dog. That makes four wins in their last five games. Washington is two-games under .500 with their 24-26 record. The Wizards look to extend their win streak to seven games both S/U and ATS tonight. They have scored at least 113 points in five of those six wins. They have been a decent over team at home, going 35-17-2 O/U in their last 54 home games. These teams have also gone over in 12 of their last 17 meetings. Moreover, five of the last six meetings in Washington have gone over. I'll take OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
01-31-23 | Hornets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets are just 15-36 overall this season. They have won two straight games though, with wins over Chicago and last game over Miami, 122-117. They have gone over in four of their last seven games. They average 112.2 overall and slightly more on the road, 113.8 ppg. However, they allow 120.4 ppg this year on the road. Charlotte has gone over in 23 of their last 32 road games this season. Milwaukee is 33-17 and has won four straight games and six of their last seven. They have gone over in two straight and three of their last four. The Bucks are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games. These teams have also gone over in five of the last six meetings in Milwaukee. Tall number to climb tonight, but I'll take the OVER. |
|||||||
01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 152.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Two teams trying to improve their position in the MAC face off today as 4th place Ball State takes on 5th place Bowling Green. Ball State is 5-3 in the MAC and 14-7 overall. Ball State is coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 87-69. They have gone over their last three games. The Cardinals have also gone over in their last four road games and 6-2 O/U their last eight overall games. Bowling Green is 4-4 in the MAC and 10-11 overall. Bowling Green looks to rebound from their loss at Toledo, 77-91. The game went over and they are 4-1-1 O/U their last six games. The Falcons have also gone over in four of their last five home games. I will take the over here tonight between these teams. |
|||||||
01-31-23 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 146.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron tied for the best record in the MAC right now with a 7-1 conference record and 15-6 overall mark. The Zips have also won six straight games. Buffalo sits in tied for 5th with Bowling Green at 4-4 and 10-11 overall. Akron has gone over their last two games, totaling 160 and 141. The Zips have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Buffalo is only 2-4 their last six games, going over in four of those. The Bulls average 86.7 ppg at home this year while allowing 74.3 ppg. I like this game to go over here tonight. |
|||||||
01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233 | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Two of the best in their respective conferences meet today as the 3rd place Eastern Conference Bucks host the 5th place Western Conference Pelicans. The Pelicans have a winning record but you wouldn't know it by their play of late, as they are riding a seven game losing streak. They are 9-15 on the road but a good over team on the road with a 16-8 Ov/Un record. They are also 18-4 O/U their last 22 games vs a team with a winning straight-up record. The Milwaukee Bucks are 32-17 overall on the season and bring a 3-game winning streak into today's contest. They have a good home over/under record, going over in 16 of their 24 home games. They are also 12-3 in their last 15 home games. These teams have gone over in their last six meetings in Milwaukee and 26-9 O/U in their last 35 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
|||||||
01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons OVER 236 | 117-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
It's a battle of the bottom dwellers as the last place team in the East, Detroit, takes on the last place team from the West, Houston. The Pistons are 13-37 on the season. They are coming off a rare win at Brooklyn, 130-122, as a 8.5-point dog. It was the second straight game the Pistons have scored 130 points, though they gave up 150 to Milwaukee on Monday. The Pistons allow the most points in the East, coming in at 120.3 ppg. The Rockets are 11-38 on the season adn have lost two straight after beating Minnesota last Saturday. They have lost 15 of their last 16 games. Houston also allows a lot of points per game, 117.1 ppg. These teams have gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings in Detroit. I expect a lot of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
01-27-23 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 220 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Friday has Orlando taking on their intrastate rivals, Miami. Orlando is 13th in the East with a 19-29 record and 6-17 road mark. The Miami Heat are 6th in the East with a 27-22 record and 16-9 home mark. Orlando has won two-straight games, beating Boston and then Indiana at home. Overall, the Magic have been a slightly over team with a 25-22-1 O/U mark. However, that changes on the road where they are 10-12-1 O/U and their ppg drops almost four points. Not sure what it is about Friday's, but the Magic are 3-14 O/U their last 17 on this day. Miami has also won two straight, going UNDER in both of those home games. The Heat have gone under their last four at home and are 3-9 O/U their last 12 games overall. Like Orlando, they are also 4-9 O/U their last 13 on Friday. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings in Miami. I'll be on the UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Two playoff bound Western Conference teams meet up today in Minnesota as the T'Wolves host the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis is 2nd in the West with a 31-17 record, but they have a losing road record of 11-14. Minnesota is 8th right now with a 25-25 record and 16-10 home mark. Memphis saw their 11 game win streak snapped and since have lost four straight games. On that win streak they were also 7-2 O/U the last nine games. Minnesota is coming off a win at New Orleans, 111-102, as a 3-point dog. They average 117.5 ppg at home while allowing 115.7 ppg. Tall total here at 238 or 239, but when Memphis wins they tend to get the overs and that's what I'm looking for here today. Play the OVER. |
|||||||
01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5th overall in the Eastern Conference with a 29-20 record. They have been averaging 111.5 ppg while allowing 107.2 ppg on the season. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 103-105, as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes them 4-6 S/U their last 10 games. They have also gone 5-5 Ov/Un their last 10 games. The Houston Rockets are dead last in the Western Conference with a 11-37 record. They have averaged 109.7 ppg while allowing 117.2 ppg. They have lost 13 of their last 14 games. I'll be looking at the over in tonight's contest. The Cavs are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Houston has gone over in five of their last seven games. They are 19-8 O/U in their last 27 games playing on no rest. I'll take the OVER tonight. |
|||||||
01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut OVER 153.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. Both these teams are good over teams and both can score. I don't think the oddsmaker made a tall enough over/under line for these two. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Thunder v. Hornets UNDER 239 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
OKC Thunder are 15-19 S/U and 21-13 ATS on the season. The Thunder have won four of the last five games both S/U and ATS. The Charlotte Thunder are 9-26 S/U and 15-20 ATS on the season. They have lost two straight both S/U and ATS. I'll be looking at the total in tonight's contest. The THunder are 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. Charlotte has been a very good under team, going 5-13-1 O/U in their last 19 home games. The last five meetings between these teams have gone under in Charlotte and six of the last eight have gone under overall. That's what I will on tonight. The UNDER. |
|||||||
11-07-22 | Mt. St. Mary's v. West Virginia UNDER 130.5 | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Mount St Mary's finished last year with a 14-16 record and now open at West Virginia for this season. They only hit 44.3% from the field and were 302nd in the nation in scoring. The defense was good, allowing 65.3 ppg (57th in nation). West Virginia coming off a losing campaign last year, going 16-17. The offense was 314th in the nation and the defense was 173rd in the nation. The Mountaineers are 3-12-1 Ov/Un in their last 16 overall games. I look for the defenses to be better early in the season than the offense and I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | Top | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. I won't get involved with the line here tonight. Rather I'll be on the UNDER. |
|||||||
06-13-22 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Game 5 of the NBA Finals tonight as they move venues back to Northern Cal. The teams have traded punches thus far with Boston winning games one and three, both S/U and ATS. The two games that the Warriors won, game two and four, both also went under the total. The Warriors defense is what has gotten them wins and with that defense has come the under in the game too. Tonight, the winner will be down to winning one of the final two games. That makes this a pivotal contest for both teams, since neither team has won two-in a row yet. I look for this game to be very physical and low scoring. For me, I'll be on the UNDER. |
|||||||
06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. Today, I'm looking at the under. Just one of the first three games have gone under and that was game two in Golden State, 88-107. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today, have to wonder if that will effect his performance here today. 2nd, I'm looking for a much more physical game here in game four. That will mean fewer scoring opportunities. So far it's been over, under and then over. If the bounce comes right, we are looking at another under here in game four. Play the UNDER. |
|||||||
06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
Game three of the NBA Finals moves to Boston for tonight's contest. The Warriors returned their game one blowout loss with their own blowout in game two to even the series at 1-1. The Celtics were close in game two but came out the break and shot very badly in the third quarter which led to their demise. The Celtics also missed a lot of wide open shots in game two, something they need to fix tonight if they want to win. Tonight, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Warriors have gone under in 11 of their last 13 vs a team with a winning straight up record. They are also 1-4 O/U in their last five games when the dog. The UNDER has also been quite dominant in this series, with seven of the last 10 meetings in Boston going under and 20 of the last 28 overall meetings going under. I'll take the under here today in game three. |
|||||||
05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 207.5 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. As for the total, the Celtics have gone under in five of their last seven games. Miami has been a very good under team of late with nine of their last 11 playoff games going under when they are favored. Game one went over, but I'm taking game two to go under here tonight. |
|||||||
05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Western Conference Championships here tonight as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Warrior in Golden State. The Mavs pulled the big upset thus far, beating the regular season best team in the NBA the Phoenix Suns. And they did so by taking games seven in Phoenix in a blowout win, 123-90. Three of the seven games went over the total and three of the four on the road went over for the Mavs. The Mavs have now gone over in eight of their last 11 road games. Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in their series. They split the over/unders with three over and three under. The Warriors have been a very good over team when they have rest, evidenced by their 15-5-1 O/U/P record their last 21 with 3 days or more of rest. This has also been a over series with 12 of the last 16 games going over. I'm taking game on OVER here tonight. |
|||||||
05-15-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 81-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
It's Game 7 of this Eastern Conference Clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. The Bucks extended the series with a game 6 win, 108-95 to force this game seven back in Boston. Four of the six games in the series have gone UNDER the total. Milwaukee has had some very poor shooting games in this series, hitting just 41.5% or worse in four of the six games. Their three-point shots have also been bad with half their games having a 26.5% or worse mark. Two of the three games in Boston have gone under and for me, I'm sticking with a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. The first three games in this series went under the total with the last two going over. I'm going back to the UNDER here tonight. |
|||||||
05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
This best of Seven semifinal series between the Suns and Mavs returns to Dallas for game three tonight. The Suns took games one and two by seven points in game one and 129-109 in game two. That takes us to this pivotal game three in Dallas. The Mavs are in desperate need of a win here tonight if they hope to have a chance to move on in the playoffs. The Mavs have been a good under team at home, evidenced by their 3-14-1 O/U mark their last 18 games at home vs a team with a road winning record. They are also 20-48-1 O/U in their last 49 home games. This series has also been a good under play, despite the first two games going over. The last 16 of 23 games played in Dallas have gone UNDER. I look for the UNDER here tongiht. |
|||||||
04-28-22 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 210.5 | 132-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors have staved off elimination in this series twice now as they have won the last two games against the 76ers. The Sixers opened with three straight wins before losing game four at Toronto, 102-110 and then losing game five at home, 88-103. Now the series returns to Toronto where the Raptors can force a game seven. After a high scoring game one, the last four games have all gone UNDER. Have to wonder how much of this is due to the injury Joel Embiid suffered in the series. He hurt his thumb and will require surgery when the season is over. Also the Raptors, guard Fred Vanvleet is doubtful tonight with a hip injury. This series has slowed down and with key injuries on both sides, I'll stick with the UNDER. |
|||||||
04-27-22 | Bulls v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Game five of this best of seven series between the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks is an elimination game should the Bulls lose. The Bulls are down 1-3 in this series and facing the end of their season tonight. So far all four games have gone under in this series as the Bulls have had trouble scoring points. The Bulls have 95 or fewer points in three of the four games. I'm not getting involved in this big line today, rather I'll stick with the UNDER as the Bulls exit the playoffs. |
|||||||
04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212 | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors staved off elimination in game four with a win over the Sixers, 110-102. That was the clubs first win and cover in the four games thus far. In addition, three of the games have gone UNDER the total. The Raptors will be without a key offensive player tonight in Fred VanVleet, who is out with a hip injury. The 76ers were also dealt a blow when Joel Embiid tore a ligament in his right thumb. That injury will require surgery after the season is over. He has vowed to play through the injury. However, with both teams having key offensive players hurt, I have to wonder how this game makes it over tonight. I'll take this game UNDER. |
|||||||
04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Game three of this series looked like a dead under until about 1 minute left when the teams went wild hitting threes and making foul shots to send it over. That makes two straight in the series that have gone over. However, The Suns have been a decent under team, having gone under in six straight and eight of the last nine before these last two games. The Suns have taken a 2-1 lead in this series and regained home court after taking game three at New Orleans, 114-111 as a 2-point favorite. This should be another close game and I will take the UNDER one more time. |
|||||||
04-22-22 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 216 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns were the best team in the NBA this season and by far. So it was a bit shocking when the Suns lost game two of this series with the Pelicans on their home floor, 114-125. The Suns need to regroup as they hit the road to New Orleans here tonight for game three. For me, I'm taking the under in this game. The Suns have been a good under team, going UNDER in six of their last seven games and eight of the last 10. The Pelicans are 1-8 O/U the last nine times the won the previous game straight-up. They are also 1-7 O/U in their last eight games when they have had two days of rest. I'm going to take tonight's contest UNDER. |
|||||||
04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 222.5 | 111-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Game three of this Best of Seven Eastern Conference series moves venues tonight to Chicago as the Bulls host the Bucks. The Bucks won a low scoring game one, 93-86, but failed to cover the 10.5-point line. The Bucks lost game two, 110-114, also not coming close to the 10-point line. With the series tied 1-1, the Bulls grabbed home court and need to keep it here tonight. So far, both games have gone under. The Bucks have also gone under in three of the last four. The Bulls have gone under in five of their last six playoff games when the dog. The Bulls are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 overall games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings and that's what I'm sticking with here today. Play UNDER. |
|||||||
04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Neither of these teams will be going to the playoffs this year. Does this mean that the Lakers will shut down their stars? Russell Westbrook, Lebron James and Anthony Davis are all questionable tonight. I'll be looking at the total here tonight. The Thunder are 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 games as a dogl. They are also 16-7-1 O/U their last 24 overall games. The Lakers are 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. While we may or may not see the stars play tonight, I like these two teams to put up plenty of points and take this game OVER. They have gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings and that is what I expect tonight. |
|||||||
04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
It took Kansas an entire half, but they finally woke up in the 2nd half against Miami in their Elite 8 matchup. Kansas trailed the Canes at half, 29-35, but came out like gangbusters in the second half. They outscored Miami 47-15 in the 2nd half to win the game, 76-50, as a 5-point closing favorite. There was a lot of money on Miami, as they opened a 9-point dog and close at around 5-points. Now Kansas will get to face Villanova. Villanova didn't have a lot of issues with Houston as they led at the half, 27-20 and held on for the 50-44 win over the Cougars as a 3-point dog. Again the money on Houston as the opened 1.5-points and close at 3-points. Villanova did suffer one loss in the game, that of guard Justin Moore who tore a Achilles tendon in the final minutes of the game. Moore will not play again this year with surgery looming. Moore, a third year starter, was second team All Big East this year. Moore averaged 14.8 ppg and his leadership will be greatly missed. For me, losing Moore is the difference maker in the tone of this game. Both these teams are very good defensively with Kansas ranked 17th and Villanova 18th in the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. Now without Moore that will hurt this Nova offense. I'm am taking the UNDER here in this Final four matchup. |
|||||||
03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns OVER 227.5 | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Best of the East meets the Best of the West today as Philly travels to Phoenix. It's a four way dog fight for the best record in the NBA East, with Philadelphia 76ers percentage points in first. The Sixers have won three straight to improve to 46-27 overall and 35-37-1 vs the spread. They have also gone over in three straight games, scoring 122, 126 and 113 points in those games. The Phoenix Suns have the NBA West best record all theirs with a 8 1/2 game lead over 2nd place Memphis. They also have the NBA's best record by far over the East. The Suns have been a scoring machine of late, posting 125 or more points in each of their last seven games. They have also gone over in seven of their last eight games. The Suns are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games vs a winning team. This has been a great over series, with the last six meetings in Phoenix going OVER and 18-7-1 the last 26 overall meetings going OVER. I'm taking OVER here today with these two powerhouse teams. |
|||||||
03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia UNDER 124 | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals here today, still at the home sites as St Bonnys plays at Virginia. St Bonnys is 22-9 and got knocked out their conference tourney in the first round, 56-57 by St Louis. The Bonnies then went on to beat Colorado, 76-86, and Oklahoma 70-68, in the first and 2nd rounds of the NIT. The Bonnies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Virginia Cavaliers have to be one of the favorites left in this tournament. The Cavs are 21-13 this season. They beat Mississippi State in the first round, 60-57, and then North Texas in the second, 71-69, covering both games. In this matchup I'll be looking at the under. St Bonnies is 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games as a dog. They are also 7-16 O/U in their last 23 road games. Virginia has always been known for their defense. They are 1-4 O/U in tehir last five home games and 3-7 O/U in their last 10 home games when favored. I'll take the UNDER. |
|||||||
03-20-22 | Troy State v. Abilene Christian OVER 140 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
CBI Tourney action here today has Troy State taking on Abilene Christian from Daytona Beach, FL. The Troy Trojans open this tourney coming off a loss to Lafayette, 57-66. That dropped them to a 20-11 overall record on the season. Abilene Christian finished the season at 23-10 overall and won their first three conference tourney games over SF Austin, Seattle and Utah Valley State before losing to New Mexico State in the Title game, 52-66, as a 5.5-point dog. The Wildcats scored 70 or more points in three of the last four games and 13 of their last 15 games. In fact, nine of their 12 away games have gone OVER the total this year. The way this team scores, I look for this game to go OVER the total here today. |
|||||||
03-17-22 | Akron v. UCLA OVER 128 | 53-57 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Mid-American Conference Champion Akron takes on PAC-12 UCLA tonight. Akron comes in with a 8-game winning streak. They beat Kent State in the MAC Championship, 75-55. Akron had the 3rd most efficient offense and 4th defense in the MAC this year. They had the 2nd best 2-point shooting team at 54.7%. UCLA had the 2nd most efficient offense in the PAC 12, third in 2-point shooting (49.6%). The Bruins have gone over in five of their last six games and four of the last five as a favorite. I'm taking the OVER here tonight as I see UCLA getting at least 70 points. |
|||||||
03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International OVER 140 | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic Owls are 15-13 on the season and coming off a win at Charlotte, 74-69. They have gone over in eight of their last 10 games. They are also 4-1-1 O/U in their last six away games. Florida International Golden Panthers are 15-14 on the season. They are coming off a loss at Old Dominion, 63-83, as a 8-point dog. They went over in that game and are now 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. FIU is 5-1 O/U in their last six home games. I look for this game to go over the total tonight. |
|||||||
02-22-22 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH OVER 155.5 | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
MAC action here on Tuesday has Buffalo taking on Miami Ohio. The Buffalo Bills are 15-8 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Western Michigan, 87-73, as a 19-point favorite. The game also went over the 146.5 total. Buffalo has the 2nd best offense in the MAC. They are 2nd in 2-point FG% and third in 3-point FG%. They are also 1st in offensive rebounds at 38.9%. The Miami Redhawks are 12-14 S/U overall. They aare coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 78-75. They have gone over in three straight games. The defense isn't very good, ranking 9th in the MAC, 11th in defensive 3-point FG% and 8th in 2-point FG%. Miami has a 7-3 O/U record in their last 10 home games as a dog. I'm going to take this game OVER tonight. |
|||||||
02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama OVER 157 | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
SEC action early here on Saturday has Arkansas playing at Alabama. I'm looking at the over in this game. We have two teams that can put up the points. Arkansas scored 80 points in their win against Auburn last game and 99 at Georgia on Feb 2 in that win. Arkansas has the 6th ranked offense in the SEC. Alabama can also put up points, evidenced by their last against at Mississippi where they won and covered, 97-83. Bama has the conferences 4th ranked offense. But one thing about the Tide, they rank just 11th in the conference in defense, so they can give up points too. I'm taking the OVER in this early Action Saturday game. |
|||||||
02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin v. SIU-Edwardsville UNDER 138 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks are just 8-16 overall on the season and also have a 10-12 spread mark. They are 2-9 S/U on the road but actually have a winning 6-5 road spread mark. The offense ranks 7th in the conference, but the defense is a bit better at 4th in conference. SIU Edwardsville Cougars are just 6-17 overall and 9-12-1 vs the spread. The Hawks have lost nine straight games and are just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games. The offense is bad, 318th overall in the country and 8th in the conference. Tennessee Martin also has one of the worse offenses in the country and is 7th in the conference. Two bad teams with bad offenses. I'll take the UNDER. |
|||||||
02-01-22 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 229.5 | 98-112 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards have dropped below the .500 mark to 23-26 S/U and 19-28-2 ATS after this current losing streak has extended to five games. They are coming off a loss at Memphis last game, 95-115 as a 5.5-point dog. The Wizards have gone over in their last four games as a dog. They are also 6-2 O/U in their last eight road games as a dog. The Milwaukee Bucks are looking to rebound from their loss on Sunday to the Nuggets, 100-136 as a 6.5-point favorite. The Bucks are 31-21 overall and 23-28-1 vs the number. They have gone over in two of their last three games and five of their last seven games. These two teams have gone over in eight of their last nine meetings. That is what I expect here tonight. Play OVER. |
|||||||
01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 210.5 | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics look to stay above .500 today as they hit the road for their game at Philadelphia. The Celtics are 21-21 S/U, 21-20-1 ATS and 18-23-1 Over/Under on the season. The Celtics have won three straight games and covered two of those with two going UNDER. The Celtics have gone under in seven of their last 10 games against a team with a winning record. The Philadelphia 76ers are 23-17 S/U and 19-21 ATS on the season. They are just 15-25 O/U on the season as they are holding their opponents to just 105.7 ppg. The Sixers have seen their last three games go UNDER. They have also gone under in seven of their last eight home games. This series has seen seven of the last 10 go under at Philly. That's what I'm looking at today, the UNDER. |
|||||||
01-08-22 | UCLA v. California UNDER 134 | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
UCLA has a 9-1 record this season and thanks in part to a decent defense. They have allowed an average of just 66.8 ppg and on the road that drops even more to just 53.5 ppg. The Bruins have gone under in five of their last six games. The Cal Bears are 9-6 on the season and average just 66.6 ppg while allowing just 62.7 ppg. The Bears have seen five of their last seven games go under the total. I look for a slower paced game here tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
|||||||
01-08-22 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso UNDER 127.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Southern Illinois Salukis hit the road today for a Missouri Valley Conference game at Valparaiso. The Salukis are coming off a win over Grambling, 75-64, though they failed to cover the 17.5-point favorite line. So.Illinois has not fared well on the road where they are 1-3 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS and being outscored by a 59.3 to 63.5 average. The Valpo Crusaders are 8-7 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Northern Iowa, 65-92 as a 7-point dog. The Salukis have gone under in 20 of their last 28 games and are 1-4 O/U in their last five road games. Valpo is 1-5 O/U in their last six games vs a team with a winning percentage over 60%. I like this game to go under today. |
|||||||
12-18-21 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 202 | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Covid seems to be the word right now in the NBA as 39 players last count hit by this bug. Tonight's Warriors vs Raptors contest has a few players effected. The Warriors Jordan Poole the only player listed as out tonight with Covid. For the Raptors, they have one non-starter also effected. So this game is one with the least Covid impact tonight. The Warriors are 24-5 S/U and 19-10 ATS on the seasosn. They are 8-21 O/U overall. However, they are coming off a over game at Boston last time out in a 111-107 win. The Raptors are 13-15 S/U and ATS on the season. Toronto is 15-13 O/U overall and 7-8 o/u at home. The Raptors have gone over in two straight games and three of their last four. These two teams have gone over in six of their last eight meetings in Toronto. I'm taking the over here tonight. |
|||||||
12-17-21 | Grizzlies v. Kings UNDER 221.5 | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Covid continues to wreck havoc in the NBA with 39 players now under protocol. The Sacramento Kings likely will be without star player De'Aaron Fox tonight who is doubtful with Covid protocol. Fox averages 21.3 ppg this year for the Kings. The Memphis Grizzlies are 18-11 on the season both S/U and ATS. They have won four straight games and nine of their last 10. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. They are coming off a win at Portland, 113-103 as a 2.5-point favorite. They have a nice away record at 7-5 S/U and 8-4 ATS, though they have been outscored overall on the road 104.4 to 109.1. The Kings snapped a three-game losing streak last time out vs Washington, 119-105 as a 2-point home dog. The Kings are 6-8 S/U and ATS at home and being outscored by a 108.9 to 110.4 margin. The Grizzlies have gone under in their last four games and in five of their last seven overall games. The Kings are 5-11 O/U in their last 15 home games. Without Fox I look for the Kings to score fewer points and keep this game under. |